The simulator was built to assist the decision making of public managers in the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic, foreseeing the overload of the capacity of hospital resources. We adapted the SEIR model from Alison Hill (2020) and used the data from Brazilian states’ daily reports collected by Brasil.IO volunteers (including me!), and DataSUS municipal health resources.
This project is one of many tools of the CoronaCidades initiative, by Impulso-gov and partners, to guide municipality’s policies with the advancement of Covid-19 - and it couldn’t be done without the help of volunteers, including João Carabetta, Ana Paula Pellegrino, Diego Oliveira, Gabriel Saruhashi and Luiz Felipe Costa. The project is still ongoing - and hopefully, it will serve good in this time of need.